THE DEVIL'S ADVOCATE REPORT -
Short-Sale Recommendations on Large Cap, Visible Companies

COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS ON SHORT SALE RECOMMENDATIONS

The methodology used to come up with short recommendations is a two-step process.
  • First, a proprietary quantitative screening tests the logical implications of consensus earnings
    estimates for reasonability and probability of achievement.
  • Second, companies red-flagged by the screening are subsequently subject to time intensive
    fundamental analysis to confirm that the expected earnings will be impossible to achieve.

It goes without saying, that companies that come up substantially short of earnings expectations are
severely punished by investors.

Given the damaging effect of earnings shortfalls on equities of high expected earnings growth, this service
has proved valuable not only to the short seller, but to any money manager looking to avoid negative
performance in their portfolio.

Short recommendations are supplemented with a variety of option techniques for “synthetically” shorting
these stocks, if so desired, to reduce risk.

DEVIL'S ADVOCATE COMPENDIUM

The Devil’s Advocate Report Compendium, published on a monthly basis, provides an effective forum for Murray
Stahl to discuss additional short-sale recommendations and inefficiencies in the space not ordinarily addressed by
Wall Street Research. Murray also discusses specific industries and concepts he believes are central to the
investment environment. These situations will be revisited in the Compendium, with the most compelling situations
expounded upon in full length research reports.

   
Copyright © 2008, PCS Securities, Inc. - All Rights Reserved.
PCS SECURITIES, INC. MAKES NO GUARANTEE THAT ANY OF THE
TECHNIQUES OR STRATEGIES MENTIONED IN THIS WEBSITE WILL BE SUCCESSFUL.
EACH STRATEGY CARRIES UNIQUE RISKS, INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR
AN INVESTOR TO LOSE SOME OR ALL OF ONE'S CAPITAL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

Member: FINRA / SIPC
Business Continuity Plan Summary Disclosure | Privacy Policy Notice
PCS Securities, Inc.
55 Liberty Street, Suite #13C
New York, NY 10005
Phone: 212-233-0100
Fax: 212-233-0497
PCS Securities, Inc.
19020 88th Ave W
Edmonds, WA 98026
Phone: 206-224-9848
Fax: 206-260-2971